International Journal of Mathematics and Computational Science
Articles Information
International Journal of Mathematics and Computational Science, Vol.1, No.6, Dec. 2015, Pub. Date: Dec. 20, 2015
Models are Valid or Invalid, and Then Useful Only If Valid Also in Climate Science
Pages: 347-351 Views: 2699 Downloads: 1500
[01] Albert Parker, School of Engineering and Physical Science, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia.
We discuss here the latest paper by Le Cozannet et al. (2015), the findings by Morner (2015) that reconcile all the observations about sea levels, and more in general the validity of the present climate models. Every model without validation should not be used to forecast future scenarios. It is shown as unfortunately, in the science of climate, the fundamental validation step where the models outputs are tested vs. true experiments is always omitted. Even worse, the experimental evidence is often manipulated for compliance with those climate models that never before were validated. It is concluded as it is very likely that the future sea-levels will be very far from the climate models prediction. Numerical analyses performed assuming realistic the results of invalid models similarly lack of any usefulness.
Sea Levels, Temperatures, Sea Ice, Global Warming
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[12] Parker, A. (2013g), WHY GLOBAL WARMING WENT MISSING SINCE THE YEAR 2000, Nonlinear Engineering 2(3-4): 129–135. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0017.
[13] Parker, A. (2013h), MINIMUM 60 YEARS OF RECORDING ARE NEEDED TO COMPUTE THE SEA LEVEL RATE OF RISE IN THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC, Nonlinear Engineering. 3(1):1–10. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0011.
[14] Parker, A. (2013i), Confirming the lack of any sea level acceleration around the Australian coastline, Nonlinear Engineering 3(2): 99–105. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0025.
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[20] Parker, A. (2014e), DISCUSSION OF THE CASE OF THE MISSING HEAT, Nonlinear Engineering. 3(4): 247–253. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2014-0011.
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[22] Parker A. (2015), The "Isle of the Dead" benchmark, the Sydney, Fort Denison tide gauge and the IPCC AR5 Chapter 13 Sea levels revisited, QUAESTIONES GEOGRAPHICAE 34(1):27–36. DOI:10.1515/quageo-2015-0003.
[23] Parker, A. and C.D. Ollier (2015), Sea level rise for India since the start of tide gauge records, Arabian Journal of Geosciences, Arabian Journal of Geosciences 8(9): 6483-6495. DOI:10.1007/s12517-014-1739-6.
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