[01] Albert Parker, School of Engineering and Physical Science, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia.

We discuss here the latest paper by Le Cozannet et al. (2015), the findings by Morner (2015) that reconcile all the observations about sea levels, and more in general the validity of the present climate models. Every model without validation should not be used to forecast future scenarios. It is shown as unfortunately, in the science of climate, the fundamental validation step where the models outputs are tested vs. true experiments is always omitted. Even worse, the experimental evidence is often manipulated for compliance with those climate models that never before were validated. It is concluded as it is very likely that the future sea-levels will be very far from the climate models prediction. Numerical analyses performed assuming realistic the results of invalid models similarly lack of any usefulness.

Sea Levels, Temperatures, Sea Ice, Global Warming

[01] Colorado University sea level research group (2015), Global Mean Sea Level Time Series. http://sealevel.colorado.edu/ [02] Jonas, M. (2015), How reliable are the climate models?, http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/09/17/how-reliable-are-the-climate-models/. [03] Le Cozannet, G., Rohmer, J., Cazenave, A., Idier, D., van de Wal, R., de Winter, R., Pedreros, R., Balouin, Y., Vinchon, C., Oliveros, C. (2015), Evaluating uncertainties of future marine flooding occurrence as sea-level rises, Environmental Modelling and Software, 73: 44-56. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.07.021M. [04] Mörner, N.-A. (2015) Glacial Isostasy: Regional-Not Global. International Journal of Geosciences, 6:577-592. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ijg.2015.66045 [05] Parker, A. (2013a), Oscillations of sea level rise along the Atlantic coast of North America north of Cape Hatteras, Natural Hazards, 65(1): 991-997. DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0354-7. [06] Parker, A. (2013b), SEA LEVEL TRENDS AT LOCATIONS OF THE UNITED STATES WITH MORE THAN 100 YEARS OF RECORDING, Natural Hazards, 65(1):1011-1021. DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0400-5. [07] Parker, A. (2013c), NATURAL OSCILLATIONS AND TRENDS IN LONG-TERM TIDE GAUGE RECORDS FROM THE PACIFIC, Pattern Recogn. Phys., 1, 1–13, 2013. doi:10.5194/prp-1-1-2013.www.pattern-recogn-phys.net/1/1/2013/ [08] Parker, A. and T. Watson (2013), Discussion of "towards a global regionally varying allowance for sea-level rise" by J.R. Hunter, J.A. Church, N.J. White, X. Zhang [Ocean Engineering 71(1)17-27 (10 October 2013)], Ocean Engineering 72: 470–472. DOI:10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.03.010. [09] Parker, A. (2013d), The non-linear, naturally oscillating pattern of sea-levels in the Chesapeake Bay, East Coast, USA, Nonlinear Engineering. 2(1-2):1–10. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0008. [10] Parker, A. (2013e), A REALISTIC LOWER BOUND TO THE 2050 SEA-LEVEL RISE, International Journal of Ocean and Climate Systems, 4(3):197-211. Doi: 10.1260/1759-3131.4.3.197. [11] Parker, A. (2013f), Apparent hot and cold spots of acceleration along the Atlantic and Pacific coasts of the United States, Nonlinear Engineering. 3(1):51–56. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0012. [12] Parker, A. (2013g), WHY GLOBAL WARMING WENT MISSING SINCE THE YEAR 2000, Nonlinear Engineering 2(3-4): 129–135. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0017. [13] Parker, A. (2013h), MINIMUM 60 YEARS OF RECORDING ARE NEEDED TO COMPUTE THE SEA LEVEL RATE OF RISE IN THE WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC, Nonlinear Engineering. 3(1):1–10. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0011. [14] Parker, A. (2013i), Confirming the lack of any sea level acceleration around the Australian coastline, Nonlinear Engineering 3(2): 99–105. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2013-0025. [15] A. Parker, M. Saad Saleem and M. Lawson (2013), Sea-Level Trend Analysis for Coastal Management, Ocean and Coastal Management. Ocean & Coastal Management, Volume 73, March 2013, Pages 63–81. 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2012.12.005. [16] Parker, A. (2014a), Impacts of sea level rise on coastal planning in Norway, Ocean Engineering, 78: 124–130. doi:10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.12.002. [17] Parker, A. (2014b), Discussion of a semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise, Nonlinear Engineering. 3(3):149–153. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2014-0003. [18] Parker, A. (2014c), PRESENT CONTRIBUTIONS TO SEA LEVEL RISE BY THERMAL EXPANSION AND ICE MELTING AND IMPLICATION ON COASTAL MANAGEMENT, Ocean and Coastal Management 98: 202–211. Doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2014.05.026 [19] Parker, A. (2014d), Persisting problems affecting the reliability of the satellite altimeter based Global Mean Sea Level computation, Pattern Recognition in Physics. 2(2):65-74. [20] Parker, A. (2014e), DISCUSSION OF THE CASE OF THE MISSING HEAT, Nonlinear Engineering. 3(4): 247–253. DOI: 10.1515/nleng-2014-0011. [21] Parker, A. (2014f), Global temperatures may not increase by 4ºC by the end of this century, Current Science, 107(3):356-359. [22] Parker A. (2015), The "Isle of the Dead" benchmark, the Sydney, Fort Denison tide gauge and the IPCC AR5 Chapter 13 Sea levels revisited, QUAESTIONES GEOGRAPHICAE 34(1):27–36. DOI:10.1515/quageo-2015-0003. [23] Parker, A. and C.D. Ollier (2015), Sea level rise for India since the start of tide gauge records, Arabian Journal of Geosciences, Arabian Journal of Geosciences 8(9): 6483-6495. DOI:10.1007/s12517-014-1739-6. [24] PSMSL (2015), Relative Sea Level Trends. http://www.psmsl.org/products/trends