American Journal of Economics, Finance and Management
Articles Information
American Journal of Economics, Finance and Management, Vol.1, No.4, Aug. 2015, Pub. Date: Jun. 6, 2015
The Utilization of Logistic Model in Determining the Stability and Predictability of Agricultural Product Prices
Pages: 304-311 Views: 3378 Downloads: 1119
Authors
[01] Pranvera Mulla, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Tirana, Branch Sarande, Sarande, Albania.
[02] Eglantina Xhaja, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Tirana, Tirane, Albania.
[03] Erand Mulla, Department of Economics, University College London, London, UK.
Abstract
Agriculture in Albania is a sector which exhibits big fluctuations of prices and production. The priority given to this sector in the light of the overall development of Albanian economy, reveals the necessity of orientating the market and production towards a stable equilibrium in order to facilitate the process of policy-making. The main aim of this paper is to study the stability of prices and production by using nonlinear models of difference equations. Starting from the logistic function, it is argued the its discrete version is nonlinear and the recurrent graphical method is a cobweb method; the stability of equilibrium point is studied and it is shown that the model satisfies the stability conditions with real economic data on agricultural products. After studying its stability through numerical methods, the logistic model is used to make predictions on prices.
Keywords
Difference Equations, Stability, Logistic Model, Cobweb Model, Agriculture
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